Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.003290 0.003450 0.003613 0.003792 0.003983 0.004182 0.004404
2025-06-15 0.002968 0.003201 0.003448 0.003731 0.004047 0.004389 0.004790
2025-06-22 0.002761 0.003034 0.003331 0.003680 0.004082 0.004530 0.005074
2025-06-29 0.002634 0.002938 0.003276 0.003683 0.004161 0.004711 0.005396
2025-07-06 0.002464 0.002780 0.003137 0.003575 0.004099 0.004715 0.005500
2025-07-13 0.002379 0.002714 0.003099 0.003577 0.004163 0.004864 0.005780
2025-07-20 0.002331 0.002687 0.003102 0.003627 0.004282 0.005082 0.006151
2025-07-27 0.002245 0.002611 0.003043 0.003595 0.004295 0.005165 0.006351
2025-08-03 0.002173 0.002547 0.002993 0.003572 0.004316 0.005256 0.006562
2025-08-10 0.002105 0.002486 0.002944 0.003546 0.004330 0.005335 0.006758
2025-08-17 0.002081 0.002477 0.002959 0.003600 0.004448 0.005554 0.007152
2025-08-24 0.002029 0.002430 0.002924 0.003589 0.004477 0.005654 0.007384
2025-08-31 0.001971 0.002375 0.002878 0.003560 0.004484 0.005725 0.007580
2025-09-07 0.001904 0.002308 0.002813 0.003504 0.004451 0.005739 0.007693
2025-09-14 0.001845 0.002248 0.002756 0.003458 0.004428 0.005764 0.007823
2025-09-21 0.001810 0.002218 0.002736 0.003460 0.004472 0.005884 0.008098
2025-09-28 0.001736 0.002135 0.002645 0.003360 0.004369 0.005790 0.008041
2025-10-05 0.001706 0.002109 0.002628 0.003363 0.004410 0.005904 0.008311
2025-10-12 0.001694 0.002107 0.002643 0.003409 0.004515 0.006115 0.008741
2025-10-19 0.001655 0.002067 0.002604 0.003380 0.004508 0.006159 0.008906
2025-10-26 0.001620 0.002032 0.002573 0.003359 0.004512 0.006219 0.009099
2025-11-02 0.001586 0.001997 0.002540 0.003334 0.004511 0.006269 0.009278
2025-11-09 0.001580 0.002000 0.002559 0.003384 0.004621 0.006497 0.009766